Service Plays Sunday 10/24/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL DUNKEL

Buffalo at Baltimore
The Ravens look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10 1/2 points or more. Baltimore is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Ravens favored by 17 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-13). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 24

Game 403-404: Pittsburgh at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 138.940; Miami 133.862
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 43
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3); Over

Game 405-406: Cincinnati at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 133.307; Atlanta 135.183
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 38
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2); Under

Game 407-408: Jacksonville at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 124.763; Kansas City 134.702
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 10; 47
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 409-410: Philadelphia at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 130.790; Tennessee 137.698
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 7; 40
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3); Under

Game 411-412: Washington at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 131.500; Chicago 134.790
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 3 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Chicago by 2 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-2 1/2); Under

Game 413-414: Cleveland at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 126.877; New Orleans 137.241
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 13 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+13 1/2); Over

Game 415-416: Buffalo at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 122.595; Baltimore 139.985
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 17 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 13; 39
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-13); Under

Game 417-418: San Francisco at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 127.374; Carolina 126.884
Dunkel Line: Even; 39
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+3); Over

Game 419-420: St. Louis at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 125.581; Tampa Bay 129.649
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 4; 36
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-2 1/2); Under

Game 421-422: Arizona at Seattle (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 124.762; Seattle 128.079
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Seattle by 6; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+6); Over

Game 423-424: New England at San Diego (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 133.012; San Diego 136.910
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4; 51
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-2 1/2); Over

Game 425-426: Oakland at Denver (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 125.306; Denver 135.076
Dunkel Line: Denver by 10; 38
Vegas Line: Denver by 8; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-8); Under

Game 427-428: Minnesota at Green Bay (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 134.719; Green Bay 136.469
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 1 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Over


MONDAY, OCTOBER 25

Game 429-430: NY Giants at Dallas (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 135.942; Dallas 135.504
Dunkel Line: Even; 42
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CKO Goldsheet


10* = 2-4....NEW ENGLAND
9*= 3-3....WASH

NFL TOTALS: 8-2...UNDER NEW ORL , OVER DALLAS



NC Powerplays

4*= 5-7-1....SEATTLE , NEW ENGLAND
3*= 0-6-1...ATL , KC , BALTY
2*= 1-4
1*= 4-1


NC Powersweep

4* = 2-4...SEATTLE
3* = 4-2....ATL , NEW ENG
2* = 6-5-1...PITT

SYSTEM SELECTION = 4-2....SEATTLE
PRO ANGELS:
4* = 0-0-1
3* = 5-8-1...OAK , ATL , NEW ENG

NFL TOTALS:

3* = 11-7...UNDER CHIC , OVER DENV , OVER SD
2* = 6-6....UNDER NEW ORL , UNDER CAROLINA




NELLY GREEN SHEET

5* = 2-4..WASH
4*= 4-2...ST LOU
3*= 3-3...SEATTLE
2*= 3-2-1....SD
1*= 2-4...CAR

‘OVER’/’UNDER’ OF THE WEEK = 6-0*...UNDER NEW ORL
TRENDS OF THE WEEK = 2-5...CAR




Marc Lawrence Playbook


5* = 5-1...CAR
4* = 2-3-1...DALLAS
3* = 3-3...PHILLY

TOTALS:

5* = 3-3...UNDER NEW ORL
4* = 2-4...UNDER SEATTLE
3* = 5-1...OVER CAR




MONEYMAKER


NFL BEST BETS : 17-5-1....MINNY , ARIZONA, OVER SF

OPINIONS: 11-8-1...PITT , CINCI , NEW ENGLAND




POINTWISE:

1* =
2* = 4-2...SD
3* = 4-2....DAL
4* = 3-4....GB, SEATTLE
5* = 4-5-1....CLEVE





Statfox Plantinum Sheet


CONSENSUS BEST BETS : 38-48-3....MIAMI , ATL , KC , PHILLY ,WASH , CLEVE , CAR , BUFF, TB , ZONA , NE , OAKL. GB , DALLAS



THE GOLDSHEET EXTRA


NFL: TECHNICAL PLAYS OF THE WEEK : 4-3...CLEVE




THE GOLD SHEET


NFL KEY RELEASES: 13-5...SEATTLE, MINNY , OVER PITT




THE RED SHEET:

88* = 2-5-1...SD
87* = 10-8...SEATTLE , BALTY , DALLAS



The Sports Reporter


SUPER BEST BET: 0-1
Best Bets: 3-8..TENN, ARIZONA
Recommended: 6-9...CAR, BALTY



WINNING POINTS


BEST BET : 7-5...SF, SD
PREFERRED: 8-2-2...KC , CINCI



PRO FOOTBALL WEEKLY

NFL BEST BETS: 8-14-2...KC , BALTY , SEATTLE, OVER GB

NFL CONSENSUS: 33-53-3...KC, BALTY, SEATTLE, CINCI, CHICAGO ,TENN, PITT, NEW ORL ,TB , SF, DENV, NE, GB, NYG

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

teddy covers

big ticket--sea

reg--

k.c.
g.bay

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Prediction Machine

Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times):
Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opp Line Margin Win% ATS Boxscore Calc Play
422 4:05 PM @ SEA ARI -5.5 8.4 60.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
408 1:00 PM @ KC JAC -4.5 7.7 60.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
418 1:00 PM @ CAR SF 3 0.8 60.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play
416 1:00 PM @ BAL BUF -13.5 14.9 59.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play
420 1:00 PM @ TB STL -3 5.8 59.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play
426 4:15 PM @ DEN OAK -7 9.6 59.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play
414 1:00 PM CLE @ NO 13 -11.3 58.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
410 1:00 PM PHI @ TEN 3 0.4 58.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play
404 1:00 PM @ MIA PIT 3 0.3 58.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play
406 1:00 PM CIN @ ATL 4 -1.6 57.3 Boxscore Calc --> Play
428 8:20 PM MIN @ GB 3 -0.4 57.3 Boxscore Calc --> Play
424 4:15 PM NE @ SD 3 -2.1 52.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play
412 1:00 PM WAS @ CHI 3 -2.2 52.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Colin Cowherd

San Francisco

Minnesota

Pittsburgh

Cincinnati

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

bets2win

3u Chargers -2.5 (buy .5)
1u Bucs -2.5 (buy .5)
1u Panthers +3.5 (buy .5)
1u Eagles +3.5 (buy .5)
2u Seahawks -6.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog Comp
Game: Jacksonville at Kansas City (Sunday 10/24 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 37.5 -110

As was evident on Monday Night football, this Jags defense lacks playmakers. The Jaguars have allowed at least 26 points to each of the last five teams they have faced. They have the capacity to score some points as they have topped the 40-point mark twice already. Inconsistent offenses like Jacksonville's often do well after a poor showing and poorly after a good one. The Jags are no exception as they are 4-0 to the OVER after being limited to 250 yards or less in their last game. The Chiefs have been a big surprise this season with three wins already (and a fourth stolen from them last week). They do a much better job of scoring at home which has led to just four of their last 17 played in Kansas City failing to reach the total. They have also gone OVER to a 7-1-1 mark in their last nine after allowing 350+ yards in their last game. Both teams find some room here, and I like the OVER.

 

[AC2008]

Football Jesus text free pick from earlier this week : OVER in bills/ravens

 

[LarsonVonFuqua]

Double dragon nfl

DOUBLE DRAGON NFL

PANTHERS +3 vs 49'ers
EAGLES +3 at titans
PATRIOTS +3 (-130) at chargers
SEAHAWKS -6.5 vs cardinals
VIKINGS +3 (-130) at packers
COWBOYS -3 (-120) vs nygiants
Soumi

 

[polishrebel]

The Gold Medal Club NFL

25* Denver
25* Cincinnati
50* San Diego

Gl Boys

 

[CHANCE]

HILTON CONTEST

TOP PLAYS ARE (3-2-1 ATS)
This week -- Top play: SEATTLE

Top Contestant (23-6-1)
Washington / New Orleans / New England / Minnesota / Dallas

 

[CHANCE]

David Blezow (NY POST)

Lock of the Week (1-5): Tampa Bay

Top (3) Weekly Best Bets (3-14-1): Tampa / KC / Carolina

========================

Paul Schwartz (NY Post)

Top (3) Weekly Best Bets (5-12-1): Pittsburgh / KC / Chicago

 

[pizza]

AL DEMARCO on philly daily news live
EAGLES +3 small lean

SAINTS -13
BUCS -3
STEELERS -3 best bet

 

[steliocantos]

bookiemonsters

vanderbilt +13

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Francesca
WFAN

10-7 Season

Atl -3
Balt -13
Minn +3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

TheProSource

Miami +3
vs Pittsburgh 1 pm et
One of our better set-ups here if you've been following our humble
offering over the past 10 yrs. Over the last 20 yrs, if you played on
the home dogs off a SU away win vs a team off a SU home win,
you'd be making regualr visits to the collection box at 74-29.
We'll apply some tighteners to the general base scenario, and in
this case, we can use them to get to 38-14.
In similar scenarios, with our home dog at this point in their season
and in this spread range, with our home team off a SU away dog win
vs an opponent off a SU win (any win, not a home win as above)
......... 42- 15.
PLAY ON Any NFL home underdog that won S/U as a road underdog
the previous week, that is off back to back wins, that is facing a team
off a win in the last game. S1990 28-13-1, close to 70% for 20 years.
We'll throw in that a home team off an away OT win is12-7 S1998.
We just missed on this system- Steelers have the added distraction
of facing last years SB winner, the Saints, next week.
These SB look ahead teams as road favorites in this spread range and
with Pitts WL% that are off a SU & ATS win, if they have the defending
Super Bowl champion on deck and they are playing a sub .500 team
today, Since 1981, are 17-3- BUT Miami is at 3-2 , 1 gm above 500.
We mentioned this because the reasoning behind this is sound, as the
letdown/look-ahead factor takes over in games like these.
Steeler HC Mike Tomlim plays into this scenario a bit as his teams are
much more focussed at home, and vs Division teams.
On the flip side, we have an incredibly strong spot for the Dolphins. As
long as Mia is not winless, the Fish are 11-4 SU / 13-2 ATS as a home
dog of three of more pts in games after they scored less than 24 pts .
We actually have the Dolphins with even more motivation today. Miami
is playing with revenge from the season ending HOME loss last year
delivered by the Steelers that kept Miami from ending over .500 last year.



Carolina +3 ** TOP Play **
vs San Francisco 1 pm et
The Panthers are 0-5.
Coming off the BYE winless is a huge motivational spot for NFL
teams. SF broke thru with their first win of the season last week,
so they should let down here ve a team desperate for a win. SF
is leaving the country next week, so there's a big added distraction
for them. NFL teams playing in England the next week are required
by the league to depart immediately from the city in which they are
playing the week before leaving for London..distraction!
West Coast teams laying points to East Coast teams does not
work out very well for the time-zone travelers. SD laid a TD(+) last
week in their visit to the lowly Rams, and lost the game SU.
We'll just dive into the systems here with two bad squads playing.
Kind of a simple angle here that is almost perfect the last 30 yrs.
Play ON any NFL dog at this point in their season that is off 3(+)
losses and playing with a week of rest, IF they allowed less than
30+ pts in their last loss. 17-1-1 since 1980
SF 1-8 lst 9 as road favs
SF 1-6 with revenge vs a team off BB SU losses
Car 10-1 lst 11 in the series (5-0 at home)
Car 8-2 dogs vs a .333 or less team



Seattle UNDER 40
vs Arizona 4:05 pm et
The Cardinals have had two weeks to get ready for the big division
showdown at Seattle this weekend.
We have to figure they worked on the running game, as that will be
the best way to keep rookie QB Max Hall out of trouble. The smart
move is banging away with talented RB's Hightower & Beanie Wells,
and HC Wisenhunt is a pretty sharp guy. He took this team where
no one has before, to the SB two yrs ago.
Arizona’s offense is averaging just 240 yards per game
Seattle offense doesn't play well unless they get a lot of turn overs,
They rely on the above average defense to win, and to get them the
ball in good field position.
Teams are 1-8 Under S1989 as a road dog if they are off a 7(+) home
win that got them to 3-2 on the year ...that's 88% for 21 seasons.
AZ is 1-13 Under the last 14 after their bye...that's 93% for 14 years.
AZ UN 0-7 away vs the Div - nice fit with Sea 0-4-1 UN home vs Div.



San Diego - 2 Light Play
vs New England 4:15 pm et
We pulled this play out of the opinion bin, as we really don't have
any system support, but the line is steal at less than a FG. .
San Diego plays so much better at home than away, and they will be
in desperation mode.
The Pats are making a LONG trip here, and they will have to deal with
the 3 hour time change.
We do have this to get past, as Belichek is 17-1 w/revenge vs a Team
off a SU loss. BUT, most of those were NOT teams with just about the
best stats in the league, AND playing at home in desperation mode.
NE just can't be trusted here this far away from home. The Patriots have
allowed 35, 38, & 34 pts in their last 3 nondivision road games.
We did dig up that SD is 8-1-1 their last 10 off a dble digit ATS loss,
and 8-1 in Oct as a fav off a SU fav loss.
We'll back the Bolts with a strong feeling that they come up with a big
game this afternoon.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hilton contest


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

top 5 consensus plays:

(1) sea -5.5 (122)
(2) kc -7 (114)
(3) pit -3 (87)
(3) sd -2.5 (87)
(5) cin +3.5 (76)
(5) mia +4 (76)

-----------------


leader:
Bright oaks drive 23-6-1

was +3
nor -13
ne +2.5
min +2.5
dallas -3.5

--------------

fezzik

chi -3
cle +13
buf +13
tb -2.5
sea -5.5

====================
leaderboard:

Bright oaks drive 23 6 1 was no ne min dal
ronin . 21 8 1 cin was no tb sea
dantastiko . 21 7 2 cin ten cle buf tb
super36 . 20 10 0 mia phi ari sd gb
mark maxwell . 20 9 1 cle buf sea sd dal
azzurri 99 . 20 8 2 pit atl bal den dal
tren bu . 20 9 1 mia cin buf car sd
thk$answers . 20 10 0 kc sf sea min nyg
richard stand . 20 8 2 atl kc was ari gb
ts 1 . 20 8 2 kc cle bal sea den
ts 2 . 20 7 3 cin kc bal sea dal
peaches' picks . 20 10 0 mia phi chi buf ari
hawaiian punch . 19 8 3 bal tb sea ne min
hotrod . 19 11 0 pit kc tb sea min
vegasportsline .com 19 10 1 cin kc phi cle sea
the three anigos 19 11 0 atl was sf stl gb
intrigue sportscap.net 19 10 1 atl phi was stl ari
uhhhh lucky . 19 9 2 no sf tb sea min
turtle . 19 10 1 phi sea sd gb dal
string music . 19 8 3 mia was cle ari dal
cody lubisky . 19 10 1 ten stl sea den gb
mike piranio . 19 9 2 buf ari sd oak gb
sully sports 3 19 9 2 jax cle buf sea oak
unholy horseman 19 10 1 mia tb sea sd min

==================


leaderboard consensus:


(1) sea -5.5 by 12
(2) az +5.5 by 6
(2) buf +13 by 6
(2) cle +13 by 6
(2) dal -3.5 by 6
(2) sd -2.5 by 6
(7) cin +3.5 by 6
(7) gb -2.5 by 5
(7) kc -7 by 5
(7) mia +3 by 5
(7) min +2.5 by 5
(7) phi +3 by 5
(7) tb -2.5 by 5
(7) was +3 by 5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's Best NFL Bets

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3, 44)

Lambeau Field will be the venue for the Sunday Night Football betting affair in the NFC North, as the Green Bay Packers take on the Minnesota Vikings.

My, what a glorious opportunity this is for the Vikes! QB Brett Favre is coming back to Lambeau, where he threw for four TDs last year and dropped a cool 38 spot on the board in the city that idolized him for the better part of two decades. Minnesota has won back to back games and is the only team in the division that really looks like it has a clue at this point. A win could very well move the men in purple and gold within a half game of the lead in the NFC North and put them in a position to run away with the division title in the second half of the season, especially with potentially the key to the offense, WR Sidney Rice expected back at some point in about a month or so. Since getting WR Randy Moss in the fold, Favre has thrown for four TD passes, improving his total to six on the season. He has also only thrown just one pick in those two games after throwing six in his first three. Favre had a very efficient game last week against the Dallas Cowboys, as he completed 73.7 percent of his passes. However, he let RB Adrian Peterson do the majority of the work in the ‘W’, as he has been battling an elbow injury that has threatened his Ironman streak of starts that dates back to 1992.

The Packers really just need to find a way to get healthy, but know that that isn’t going to happen, it’s going to be a matter of buckling down and doing the best with what they have to work with. TE Jermichael Finley is really a key cog missing in this offense. He is the man responsible for the short passing game, while WR Greg Jennings and WR Donald Driver tend to run deeper routes. The running game was cut off at the knees as well when RB Ryan Grant went down with a season ending ankle injury in Week 1. Granted, with all of that being said, the Pack have watched as all three of their losses this year have come by just three points, and in all three games, K Mason Crosby had a chance to win it. Is Green Bay just that close, or is it so far away that it isn’t even funny? A loss on Sunday Night Football would mark three losses in a row, and with the New York Jets, Dallas Cowboys, Minnesota Vikings, and Atlanta Falcons all coming up after that, three games of which are on the road, things are getting very, very dicey in Title Town.

So let’s get the facts straight here. Brett Favre doesn’t lose on primetime football all that often. He doesn’t lose at Lambeau Field all that often. He has never lost to the Packers in his career. Yep. He’s not losing this one either.

Picks: Minnesota Vikings +3


New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers (-3, 48)

If you had asked any fan to make NFL predictions for the outset of the season, the names of the New England Patriots and San Diego Chargers would come up quite a bit as teams that could beat the Super Bowl odds and win the Lombardi Trophy. However, their NFL betting battle on Sunday afternoon at Qualcomm Stadium might prove to be the end of the line for the hosts.

The Pats have nothing to worry about this year at this point even if this game is lost. The biggest issue is how well the New York Jets are playing right now at 5-1. A win will tie for the division lead, while a loss could drop them into a tie for second and third with the Miami Dolphins. The first game in the post-Randy Moss era was a good one for QB Tom Brady and his men. The unit put up 494 yards of offense and 23 points in a win over one of the most ferocious teams in the NFL, the Baltimore Ravens. Brady threw for 292 yards and hooked up with newcomer WR Deion Branch for 98 yards and a touch. WR Wes Welker also caught seven balls, bringing him to 33 catches on the season. The play of RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis has been okay, but not fantastic. He is averaging just 4.1 yards per carry, which might be why reserve RB Danny Woodhead picked up the slack this past week. Woodhead now has 141 yards and a score this year and is averaging 6.4 yards per carry. This is still the top scoring offense in the NFL at 30.8 points per game, while the defense is still relatively atrocious, ranking No. 30 overall with 383.0 yards per game allowed and No. 25 in scoring at 23.2 points per game allowed.

Especially with the Kansas City Chiefs playing a virtual slam dunk game this weekend, this could be the biggest game of the season for the Bolts. Both GM AJ Smith and HC Norv Turner could have their jobs on the line based on the team’s performance on Sunday. There is a bit of a silver lining here for San Diego, though. The Chargers have already played four road games against two home games, and very predictably, they are 2-0 SU and ATS at home and 0-4 SU and ATS on the road. At home, the team is averaging 39.5 points per game. On the road, it hasn’t even scored 28 points in a single game. The defense hasn’t allowed more than 13 points in a home game yet this year. On the road, all four foes have scored at least 20. The opportunity is going to present itself to make a comeback, especially if the defense continues playing like this. This unit has only allowed 255.2 yards per game this year, but it is one that has fallen victim to a plethora of special teams blunders on the season. That’s why San Diego is allowing 21.0 points per game, a very mediocre No. 19 in the NFL in spite of the fact that the overall defensive rating is top in the league.

This is the toughest game on the board to call, bar none. We tend to think that the Brady Bunch has the better squad, but my, is this a tough place to go play football. Because of the home field record, we’re going to give the nod to the Chargers, but we are awfully reluctant after the Pats burned us last week by beating the Ravens.

Picks: San Diego Chargers -2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stat/systems report 10/24

STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 10/24
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
______________________________________________


***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH -- NFL *****

• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
------------------------------------------
Fresh off his NFL maiden voyage against the six-time Super Bowl champion and perennial playoff-contending Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend, former University of Texas passing stud Colt McCoy takes his second dip into the pool against a more recent title-level foe this Sunday. But even with the defending Lombardi Trophy claimants, the New Orleans Saints, coming straight for McCoy in the Superdome, the one-time veteran Longhorn turned current Cleveland Browns rookie seems to at least have the correct attitude.

New Orleans answered the bell (*5-Star Awesome Angle of the Week) last week and finally appear to be headed in the right direction. The question Sunday is; are they two touchdowns superior to the Browns, a team that lost the money in heartbreaking fashion in Colt McCoy’s debut at Pittsburgh last weekend. We do know that teams have not had much success after battling with the Steelers, going just 16-34 ATS overall in its next confrontation (although 4-0 SU / ATS this year).

As we look for this year’s result of that occurrence to come back to where it started, we asked our huge powerful database for some answers. For starters we find New Orleans checks in 0-8 ATS in games off a double-digit victory when facing an opponent off back-to-back defeats. While the Browns bring to the table their 8-2 spread mark against an outfit off back-to-back road outings.

Digging deeper we find that Home favorites that are an excellent passing team (>=265 PY/game) when playing against an average passing defense (185-230 PY/game), after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 9-32 ATS over the last 5 seasons, including 0-2 this year. Sealing the deal for us today for our "AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK" Cleveland is 16-0 ATS since 2005 when they threw for 240+ yards last game while rushing for 147 or fewer yards.

*** THIS WEEK'S PLAY: CLEVELAND +14 ***
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• NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
-----------------------------------
With October winding down, there already have been many NFL surprises. The good surprises have been the Chiefs, Bucs and Bears. The bad surprises have been the winless Panthers, and Bills. This leaves situations each week where teams have to play better and win!

So for this Sunday's "NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK" we will look into one of my long time favorite NFL handicapping theories, Involving winless teams playing with a week of rest, both Carolina & Buffalo fit the bill. For openers, dogs that are 0-4 or worse on the season have gone 146-95-5 ATS since 1980, a 59.5% winning proposition on the blind. These same teams in non-division games are 88-52-5 ATS.

Secondly, if you were to: PLAY ON - Any NFL winless underdog with a week of rest you would own a solid 33-21-1 ATS mark since 1980. Better yet, if the opposition takes the field with at least one blemish on its record, these starving pups improve to18-3 ATS 85.7%, winning 11 of the 21 encounters in straight-up fashion.

*** THIS WEEK'S PLAY: CAROLINA +3 ***
-----------------------------------------------------
The Niners’ have covered the number in just one of the last nine as a road favorite and have dropped thirty-one of their last forty-four decisions on the highway after covering the spread in two out of their last three battles since 1992. Toss in the their 1-10 ATS log in this series, including 0-5 here, along with an ugly 5-18 ATS mark in road scuffles after allowing 9 points or less, "Sounds like Money in the Bank to Me!"
____________________________________

• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
-------------------------------------------
--DALLAS: Is 10-0-1 ATS as a favorite after a straight up loss as a dog... 6-0 ATS at home off back-to-back SU and ATS losses and 9-1 ATS at home in October off a SU loss versus an opponent off a SU win.
--MONDAY NIGHT home teams that won 12 or more games the previous season are 13-1 SU and ATS (92.9%), their last 14 appearances.
_____________

• AMAZING SITUATIONAL TRENDS
-------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON: Is 0-17 ATS (-11.9 ppg) since 2000 when facing a team they scored between 32 and 37 points against last meeting.
--MIAMI: Is 0-14-1 ATS (-7.6 ppg) since September 26, 2004 at home when facing a team that has averaged fewer than 275 yards offense per game season-to-date.
--NEW ENGLAND: Is 13-0 ATS (+10.3 ppg) on the road after a win as a favorite in which they failed to get into the end zone on at least three separate red zone attempts.

--DENVER: Is 0-13 ATS (-11.7 ppg) since December 2005 when their DPS was positive in their last two games and last games total was at least 38.
-- MIAMI: Is 0-13 ATS (-10.8 ppg) since December 15, 2003 at home after playing on the road when the line was within 3 of pick’em.
--SEATTLE: Is 0-13 ATS (-10.6 ppg) since December 18, 2005 when they covered by a TD+ last game and committed 0 or 1 turnovers.

--PITTSBURGH: Is 0-12 ATS (-9.0 ppg) since September 30, 2007 as a favorite when facing a team that has benefited from an average of less than 1.25 turnovers per game season-to-date.
--BUFFALO: Is 0-10 ATS (-12.8 ppg) since September 21, 2008 when they committed 0 or 1 turnover last game on a Sunday.
--TAMPA BAY: Is 10-0-1 ATS (15.1 ppg) since October 13, 1996 when they lost by 21+ last game, on normal rest.
--NEW ENGLAND: Is 9-0 ATS (12.6 ppg) since October 27, 1991 as a dog the week after playing an overtime game.

--BUFFALO: Is 0-14 OU (-9.5 ppg) since 2002 as a road dog vs a team that has allowed less than 58.5% completions season-to-date.
--ARIZONA: Is 13-0 OU (14.7 ppg) since December 15, 2002 as a road dog when their opponent’s season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is fewer than 25.
--SAN FRANCISCO: Is 0-12 OU (-7.3 ppg) since December 03, 1989 as a road favorite when on a 1 game SU and ATS winning streak.
--TENNESSEE: Is 11-0-1 OU (11.3 ppg) since October 31, 1999 within 3 of pick at home vs a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road against a non-divisional opponent.
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OAKLAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OAKLAND 9.8, OPPONENT 26.1 - (Rating = 4*)

--NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 ATS (+9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 33.2, OPPONENT 19.3 - (Rating = 4*)

--JACKSONVILLE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after scoring 6 points or less last game since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 23.7, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--KANSAS CITY is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 23.2, OPPONENT 24.7 - (Rating = 3*)

--ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 28.8, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--CINCINNATI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 19.1, OPPONENT 17.4 - (Rating = 2*)

--BALTIMORE is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was BALTIMORE 26.6, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 2*)

--BALTIMORE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 31.1, OPPONENT 9.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--CAROLINA is 30-11 ATS (+17.9 Units) vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game since 1992.
The average score was CAROLINA 24.9, OPPONENT 15.1 - (Rating = 2*)

-- SAN FRANCISCO is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games after allowing 9 points or less last game since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 21.3, OPPONENT 24.3 - (Rating = 2*)

--SAN FRANCISCO is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 19.4, OPPONENT 25.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--WASHINGTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 17.6, OPPONENT 19.1 - (Rating = 2*)

--DENVER is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 19, OPPONENT 26 - (Rating = 2*)

--JACKSONVILLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 17.5, OPPONENT 26 - (Rating = 2*)

--JACKSONVILLE is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 17.7, OPPONENT 24.5 - (Rating = 2*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing <=70 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was MIAMI 22, OPPONENT 25.5 - (Rating = 4*)

--CLEVELAND is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) against NFC South division opponents since 1992.
The average score was CLEVELAND 13.1, OPPONENT 17.2 - (Rating = 4*)

--CINCINNATI is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 12.2, OPPONENT 20.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--ARIZONA is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) vs. poor punt coverage teams, allowing >= 12 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 21.6, OPPONENT 36.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) in road games off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 19.2, OPPONENT 13.5 - (Rating = 3*)

--BUFFALO is 20-6 UNDER (+13.4 Units) in road games after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was BUFFALO 15.7, OPPONENT 19.3 - (Rating = 2*)

--BUFFALO is 7-0 UNDER (+7 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 11.7, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--CAROLINA is 7-0 UNDER (+7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 14.1, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 2*)

--CAROLINA is 7-0 UNDER (+7 Units) in home games after scoring 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 18.4, OPPONENT 12.7 - (Rating = 2*)

--CAROLINA is 7-0 UNDER (+7 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 16.7, OPPONENT 16 - (Rating = 2*)

--CAROLINA is 7-0 UNDER (+7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 11, OPPONENT 17.7 - (Rating = 2*)

--WASHINGTON is 23-8 UNDER (+14.2 Units) in road games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 13.4, OPPONENT 21.7 - (Rating = 2*)

--DENVER is 29-10 OVER (+18 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 28.8, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 2*)

--DENVER is 35-14 OVER (+19.6 Units) off 3 or more consecutive overs since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 25.9, OPPONENT 22.4 - (Rating = 2*)

--DENVER is 28-10 OVER (+17 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 26, OPPONENT 22 - (Rating = 2*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM MONEY LINE TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--TENNESSEE is 15-3 (+22.7 Units) against the money line against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
The average score was TENNESSEE 25, OPPONENT 18.8 - (Rating = 8*)

--PITTSBURGH is 14-1 (+14.7 Units) against the money line off a home win over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 24.2, OPPONENT 15.7 - (Rating = 6*)

--OAKLAND is 2-15 (-17.9 Units) against the money line after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1992.
The average score was OAKLAND 17.2, OPPONENT 26.7 - (Rating = 5*)

--NEW ORLEANS is 12-1 (+11 Units) against the money line after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 30.7, OPPONENT 20.3 - (Rating = 5*)

--ST LOUIS is 25-41 (-49 Units) against the money line vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.
The average score was ST LOUIS 20.8, OPPONENT 24 - (Rating = 5*)

--PHILADELPHIA is 2-6 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 21, OPPONENT 23.2 - (Rating = 5*)

--TENNESSEE is 40-15 (+35.2 Units) against the money line in non-conference games since 1992.
The average score was TENNESSEE 25.5, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 5*)

--SAN FRANCISCO is 13-31 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 21.2, OPPONENT 23.2 - (Rating = 4*)

--WASHINGTON is 1-10 (-11.3 Units) against the money line after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 17.5, OPPONENT 22.2 - (Rating = 4*)

--DENVER is 4-10 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 20.3, OPPONENT 25.2 - (Rating = 4*)

--OAKLAND is 28-51 (-49.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
The average score was OAKLAND 20.6, OPPONENT 21.7 - (Rating = 4*)

--KANSAS CITY is 17-3 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 28.3, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 4*)

--PITTSBURGH is 40-13 (+29.1 Units) against the money line off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since 1992.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 23.5, OPPONENT 17 - (Rating = 4*)

--CLEVELAND is 8-2 (+14 Units) against the money line in road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was CLEVELAND 20.8, OPPONENT 23.7 - (Rating = 4*)

--CLEVELAND is 2-18 (-17.6 Units) against the money line after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse since 1992.
The average score was CLEVELAND 16.4, OPPONENT 21.9 - (Rating = 4*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
--------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 9-26 (-19.6 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 10.3, OPPONENT 13.4 - (Rating = 5*)

--PITTSBURGH is 50-26 (+21.4 Units) against the 1rst half line in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 13, OPPONENT 7.5 - (Rating = 5*)

--NEW ORLEANS is 42-68 (-32.8 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after the first month of the season since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 11, OPPONENT 12.7 - (Rating = 5*)

--DENVER is 5-20 (-17 Units) against the 1rst half line after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 8.9, OPPONENT 13.5 - (Rating = 4*)

--JACKSONVILLE is 11-27 (-18.7 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 9.2, OPPONENT 13.6 - (Rating = 4*)

--NEW ORLEANS is 5-20 (-17 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 9.7, OPPONENT 10 - (Rating = 4*)

--NEW ENGLAND is 45-25 (+17.5 Units) against the 1rst half line vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 12.4, OPPONENT 10.2 - (Rating = 4*)

--JACKSONVILLE is 8-24 (-18.4 Units) against the 1rst half line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 9.2, OPPONENT 13.5 - (Rating = 3*)

--BALTIMORE is 51-30 (+18 Units) against the 1rst half line as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was BALTIMORE 12.5, OPPONENT 6 - (Rating = 3*)

--CAROLINA is 0-6 (-6.6 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CAROLINA 4, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 2*)

--DENVER is 1-8 (-7.8 Units) against the 1rst half line off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 5.6, OPPONENT 13.3 - (Rating = 2*)

--JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 (-7.8 Units) against the 1rst half line after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 5.9, OPPONENT 16.2 - (Rating = 2*)

--ARIZONA is 8-1 (+6.9 Units) against the 1rst half line in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 16.1, OPPONENT 9.6 - (Rating = 2*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--TAMPA BAY is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 7.6, OPPONENT 7.8 - (Rating = 5*)

--ARIZONA is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) the 1rst half total after a bye week since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA 7.7, OPPONENT 8.1 - (Rating = 4*)

--ARIZONA is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) the 1rst half total vs. poor punt coverage teams, allowing >= 12 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 7.7, OPPONENT 26.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--ST LOUIS is 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ST LOUIS 9.1, OPPONENT 16.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--TAMPA BAY is 25-7 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 7, OPPONENT 9.4 - (Rating = 3*)

--NY GIANTS are 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) the 1rst half total against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 12.8, OPPONENT 15.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--NY GIANTS are 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) the 1rst half total after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 13.3, OPPONENT 15.6 - (Rating = 3*)

--ATLANTA is 27-9 OVER (+17.1 Units) the 1rst half total off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more since 1992.
The average score was ATLANTA 13.8, OPPONENT 13.7 - (Rating = 3*)

--CINCINNATI is 51-25 OVER (+23.5 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was CINCINNATI 9.6, OPPONENT 13 - (Rating = 3*)

--CINCINNATI is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992.
The average score was CINCINNATI 11, OPPONENT 14.4 - (Rating = 2*)

--SAN FRANCISCO is 48-21 OVER (+24.9 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total is between 18 and 21 since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 10.7, OPPONENT 12.9 - (Rating = 2*)

--SAN FRANCISCO is 91-46 OVER (+40.4 Units) the 1rst half total in all games where the first half total is between 18 and 21 since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 11.8, OPPONENT 11.7 - (Rating = 2*)

--SAN FRANCISCO is 36-15 OVER (+19.5 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 11.4, OPPONENT 12.5 - (Rating = 2*)

--SAN FRANCISCO is 87-48 OVER (+34.2 Units) the 1rst half total in the first half of the season since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 12.4, OPPONENT 12.1 - (Rating = 2*)

--MIAMI is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus the 1rst half line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 12.3, OPPONENT 12.3 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ _______

• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - ATS
-------------------------------------------------
--Mike Shanahan is 25-51 ATS (-31.1 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Shanahan 22.3, OPPONENT 21.7 - (Rating = 6*)

--John Fox is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better as the coach of CAROLINA.
The average score was Fox 24.8, OPPONENT 17.9 - (Rating = 5*)

--Tom Coughlin is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game as the coach of NY GIANTS.
The average score was Coughlin 24.9, OPPONENT 19.3 - (Rating = 4*)
.
--Tom Cable is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of OAKLAND.
The average score was Cable 8.7, OPPONENT 25.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--Bill Belichick is 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 24.8, OPPONENT 16.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--Bill Belichick is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 23.4, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 3*)

--Bill Belichick is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) in road games after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 30.5, OPPONENT 17 - (Rating = 3*)

--Bill Belichick is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 28.5, OPPONENT 21.8 - (Rating = 3*)

--Bill Belichick is 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 23.7, OPPONENT 16 - (Rating = 3*)

--Jeff Fisher is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) in non-conference games as the coach of TENNESSEE.
The average score was Fisher 25.5, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 3*)

--Mike Smith is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of ATLANTA.
The average score was Smith 28.8, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--John Harbaugh is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of BALTIMORE.
The average score was Harbaugh 31.1, OPPONENT 9.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--John Fox is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 6 points or less last game as the coach of CAROLINA.
The average score was Fox 16.5, OPPONENT 10.6 - (Rating = 2*)

--John Fox is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games in the first half of the season as the coach of CAROLINA.
The average score was Fox 17.7, OPPONENT 19.2 - (Rating = 2*)

--Mike McCarthy is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) off a non-conference game as the coach of GREEN BAY.
The average score was McCarthy 26.8, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 2*)